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Middle East: The factions behind the fight against Isis

Looking at a map of northern Iraq, it can easily appear as if the Isis forces holding the city of Mosul are vulnerable. To the west, militia are ready to advance. To the north, south and east, army and paramilitary troops are as close as 20km away. Yet even as these troops seem within touching […]

Erika Solomon and Geoff Dyer write for Financial Times:

Looking at a map of northern Iraq, it can easily appear as if the Isis forces holding the city of Mosul are vulnerable. To the west, militia are ready to advance. To the north, south and east, army and paramilitary troops are as close as 20km away.

Yet even as these troops seem within touching distance, they are a long way from retaking Mosul. What the maps do not show are the bitter rivalries, political ambitions and regional power struggles behind the forces gathered around Iraq’s second-largest city, hindering what will be one of the most important campaigns in the war against the jihadis.

“If you think there is some grand plan for this — well, there is no plan,” says one Iraqi security official.

 In the two years since Isis shocked the world by seizing Mosul and large swaths of Syria and Iraq, the US-led coalition battling the group has made progress. Isis has lost 46 per cent of its Iraqi territory and 16 per cent of its holdings in Syria, according to the Pentagon, faster than US officials had thought likely. Recent momentum has lulled many regional players into a sense of confidence, almost as if the war was over.

“Everyone has forgotten about Isis,” says one UN official in Iraq. “They are busy positioning themselves for the war after Isis instead.”